How can we sort out the mysteries of talent? How do venture capitalists pick winners, the FBI hostage rescue team find agents, or Hollywood casting agents size up actors. Anyone trying to build a great organization faces the same basic challenges. We all struggle to tell really outstanding prospects from ones who look great on paper but then fail on the job. And how to spot the candidates who don't look as good on paper but might still deliver extraordinary performance. The good news is that anyone can hone the ability to recognize greatness.