Reform UK seem to exist in order to persuade the Conservatives to fundamentally reform themselves around a far-right political party. But in order to succeed, they need to prove that they are making it impossible for the Conservatives to ever win an election again. But despite their hype, Reform UK face a lot of problems which may result in surprisingly low vote share at the general election.

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Article: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/may/13/reform-uk-richard-tice-loans-party-funding

Current poll: https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/49455-voting-intention-con-20-lab-47-15-16-may-2024
Historic polls: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/voting-intention-great-britain-recent-trends